We propose a new approach for estimating a “hybrid” New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) that includes demand pressures coming from disequilibrium relations in three different markets: (1) monetary and financial, (2) international, and (3) labour. Econometric tests based on Chilean data indicate that this specification is superior to the traditional NKPC, which includes a single variable to account for demand pressures. Moreover, considering cointegration relationships in the monetary and labour markets is particularly useful to forecast the dynamics of inflation compared to an alternative specification based on a standard measure of output fluctuation.
A multimarket approach to estímate a Newkeynesian Phillips Curve / TENA HORRILLO, Juan de Dios; Jorge, Dredsner; Ivan, Araya. - In: REVISTA DE ECONOMÍA APLICADA. - ISSN 1133-455X. - 20:58(2012), pp. 49-68.
A multimarket approach to estímate a Newkeynesian Phillips Curve
TENA HORRILLO, Juan de Dios;
2012-01-01
Abstract
We propose a new approach for estimating a “hybrid” New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) that includes demand pressures coming from disequilibrium relations in three different markets: (1) monetary and financial, (2) international, and (3) labour. Econometric tests based on Chilean data indicate that this specification is superior to the traditional NKPC, which includes a single variable to account for demand pressures. Moreover, considering cointegration relationships in the monetary and labour markets is particularly useful to forecast the dynamics of inflation compared to an alternative specification based on a standard measure of output fluctuation.I documenti in IRIS sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.