In this short review, the modeling and analysis of stock price financial series are presented in two different flavors: the dynamical picture provided by stochastic volatility models, capturing the non constant nature of price fluctuations, and a clustering Bayesian approach eliciting the underlying partition structure of data. The main theoretical results, obtained for specific mod- els, are presented and some examples of empirical analysis and financial application are then considered, showing the effectiveness of these approaches in capturing the non Gaussian behav- ior of empirical returns, their non trivial correlations, and, at a higher level, the effects of these features in determining the market risk exposure or the prices of stock option contracts.
Modeling and analysis of financial time series beyond geometric Brownian motion / Delpini, Danilo. - In: SCIENTIFICA ACTA. - ISSN 1973-5219. - 4:1(2010), pp. 15-22.
Modeling and analysis of financial time series beyond geometric Brownian motion
DELPINI, Danilo
2010-01-01
Abstract
In this short review, the modeling and analysis of stock price financial series are presented in two different flavors: the dynamical picture provided by stochastic volatility models, capturing the non constant nature of price fluctuations, and a clustering Bayesian approach eliciting the underlying partition structure of data. The main theoretical results, obtained for specific mod- els, are presented and some examples of empirical analysis and financial application are then considered, showing the effectiveness of these approaches in capturing the non Gaussian behav- ior of empirical returns, their non trivial correlations, and, at a higher level, the effects of these features in determining the market risk exposure or the prices of stock option contracts.I documenti in IRIS sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.