The paper analyses, estimates and forecasts the demand for international and domestic tourism to Sardinia (Italy). Monthly data are used for the sample period from 1987 to 2002. Concepts such as seasonal and long run unit roots are employed. Two econometric approaches, the OLS and ARIMAX, are used that give satisfactory results in terms of both the estimation and forecasting phases. A full range of diagnostic tests is provided. An ex-ante forecasting exercise is run for tourism demand to Sardinia for the period between January and December 2003.
Quantitative forecasting for tourisme: OLS and ARIMAX approaches / Pulina, Manuela. - 2003:03(2003), p. 27.
Quantitative forecasting for tourisme: OLS and ARIMAX approaches
Pulina, Manuela
2003-01-01
Abstract
The paper analyses, estimates and forecasts the demand for international and domestic tourism to Sardinia (Italy). Monthly data are used for the sample period from 1987 to 2002. Concepts such as seasonal and long run unit roots are employed. Two econometric approaches, the OLS and ARIMAX, are used that give satisfactory results in terms of both the estimation and forecasting phases. A full range of diagnostic tests is provided. An ex-ante forecasting exercise is run for tourism demand to Sardinia for the period between January and December 2003.| File | Dimensione | Formato | |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Pulina_M_Working_Paper_2003_Quantitative.pdf
accesso aperto
Tipologia:
Versione editoriale (versione finale pubblicata)
Licenza:
Non specificato
Dimensione
646.91 kB
Formato
Adobe PDF
|
646.91 kB | Adobe PDF | Visualizza/Apri |
I documenti in IRIS sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.
